CHAMGAP
VERIFIEDPassed the Codex final verification and publication gate. Evidence-verification cutoff: 2026-08-07. AI was used for research and drafting; the existence of all 2 cited sources was verified at the original page, followed by blind grading, adversarial audit, and build validation. Methodology v1.0.
Verdict No. 2373 · Search date 2026-08-07 · Methodology v1.0

Raloxifene,
does it really help with Primary prevention of breast cancer in high-risk postmenopausal women?

30-Second Summary
B
Evidence Grade B · 72 · Safety warning
Raloxifene matched tamoxifen for invasive prevention in high-risk postmenopausal women, with different thrombotic and noninvasive-cancer tradeoffs.
Raloxifene can increase venous thromboembolism and carries a warning about fatal stroke in susceptible women. STAR found fewer thrombotic and uterine events than tamoxifen, but this was not a no-treatment safety comparison.
What the
research shows
The grade is B. STAR randomized 19,747 postmenopausal women with a five-year invasive breast-cancer risk of at least 1.66% by the Gail model or equivalent criteria. At a mean 47 months, invasive cancer occurred in 168/9,745 raloxifene participants, 4.41 per 1,000 woman-years, versus 163/9,726 tamoxifen participants, 4.30 per 1,000, RR 1.02 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.28).
What the
ads claim
The same drug is spelled raloxifene under a different Korean transliteration in verdict 984, which is B with 77 points for new vertebral-fracture reduction in postmenopausal osteoporosis. This verdict concerns primary breast-cancer prevention, a different indication and benefit-harm balance.
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Useful facts when choosing a product

  • Raloxifene is a prescription selective estrogen receptor modulator.
  • STAR used tamoxifen 20 mg daily, not placebo, as the comparator.
  • Invasive and noninvasive cancer results differed.
  • Prior venous thromboembolism and prolonged immobilization require particular caution.
ID

Chamgap Semantic Classification Code

Candidate index · review held

UNK.raloxifene.UNK.primary-prevention-of-breast-cancer.prevent.active

Unknown > Raloxifene > Unknown > Primary prevention of breast cancer > Occurrence-prevention claim > Active comparator

An automated migration candidate, not an issued permanent code; exact claim scope remains under review. This machine-generated migration candidate helps retrieval but is not a permanent assignment. The original verdict ID and URL remain authoritative.

Download semantic index (JSON) · Codebook v1

Gap Measurement · Verdict 2373 · B 72
What advertising claims
What independent, higher-quality research supports
△ GAP
01

What the research actually shows

Participants were postmenopausal and had a mean Gail five-year risk of 4.03% (SD 2.17%). Blinded treatment was planned for five years, with the initial analysis after a mean 47 months. Manufacturer money was present: “The STAR study has been supported to date by $88 million from the National Cancer Institute and $30 million from Eli Lilly & Co., the maker of raloxifene.”

02

Why this is classified as B (72)

A large double-blind randomized trial found similar prevention of the hard endpoint of invasive breast cancer versus tamoxifen. Active control without placebo, mixed manufacturer funding, and one directly matched confirmatory trial give B with 72 points.

Counterpoint. MORE and RUTH placebo-controlled trials pointed toward lower invasive breast cancer but enrolled osteoporosis or cardiovascular-risk populations and were not counted as exact replication of the STAR high-risk population.

Rejudgment record. Cross-check applied — Gail risk, menopausal status, active control, invasive and noninvasive events, thrombosis, uterine cancer, and mixed funding were checked

Stored scoring profile
EndpointHHard endpoint - actual events such as death
ReplicationR1Single confirmatory trial
IndependenceI1Mixed funding sources
Effect sizeE+Meets the clinically important threshold

Stored derived and displayed grades match; this is not a current recalculation or validity check (B).

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Sub-claim grades by effect

This ingredient is marketed for several effects. A single overall grade blends strong and weak claims together, so each effect is graded separately here. The overall grade reflects the strongest disconfirming or core claim.

Effect (sub-claim)GradeBasis
Prevention of invasive breast cancerBSimilar to tamoxifen.
Prevention of noninvasive breast cancerDEighty versus 57 cases left equivalence uncertain.
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Cross-check — AI research and Codex final gate

AI was used for research and drafting. Blind grading, adversarial audit, and the methodology boundary rules were then reapplied before Codex performed the final evidence, grade, copy, and build checks. If a grade cannot be narrowed, both evidence positions and their reasons are published.
03

Evidence Table

StudyDesignSampleFundingEndpointResultWeight
Vogel et al. 2006 STAR P-2Multicenter double-blind active-controlled randomized trial19,747 randomized; 9,745 and 9,726 analyzed$88 million from the National Cancer Institute and $30 million from Eli Lilly & Co.Primary invasive breast cancer; noninvasive cancer, uterine cancer, and thromboembolism168 cases (4.41/1,000 woman-years) vs 163 (4.30/1,000), RR 1.02 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.28)Decisive direct evidence
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Receipt — 2 References

All 2 cited sources were verified for existence at the original page (as of 2026-08-07).

Vogel VG, Costantino JP, Wickerham DL, et al.; NSABP. Effects of tamoxifen vs raloxifene on the risk of developing invasive breast cancer and other disease outcomes: STAR P-2. JAMA. 2006;295:2727-2741. PMID: 16754727. DOI: 10.1001/jama.295.23.joc60074.
checked
Vogel VG, Costantino JP, Wickerham DL, et al. Update of the NSABP STAR P-2 Trial. Cancer Prev Res. 2010;3:696-706. PMID: 20404000. PMCID: PMC2935331. DOI: 10.1158/1940-6207.CAPR-10-0076.
checked
Research and draft: AI used · Cross-check: blind grading and adversarial audit
Final verification and publication gate: Codex · Evidence date: 2026-08-07 · Corrections: none
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Cite this verdict

Raloxifene x primary breast-cancer prevention in high-risk postmenopausal women Evidence Grade B card
[Chamgap] Raloxifene x primary breast-cancer prevention in high-risk postmenopausal women — Evidence Grade B·72. 2 cited sources checked. Source: https://chamgap.com/en/verdicts/womens/raloxifene-primary-breast-cancer-prevention/ · CC BY 4.0

CC BY 4.0 — free to use with attribution; do not distort grades, numbers, or verdict meaning.

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What this document does and does not do

Chamgap is an information source. It reports what research has and has not confirmed; it does not tell readers what to take or buy. That decision belongs to readers and, when needed, medical or legal professionals. This verdict reflects literature available up to the search date and may change as new research appears. Nothing here is medical advice.
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