CHAMGAP
VERIFIEDPassed the Codex final verification and publication gate. Evidence-verification cutoff: 2026-08-26. AI was used for research and drafting; the existence of all 1 cited sources was verified at the original page, followed by blind grading, adversarial audit, and build validation. Methodology v0.8.
Verdict No. 2897 · Search date 2026-08-26 · Methodology v0.8

Low-dose methotrexate,
does it really help with Prevention of major cardiovascular events in high-risk coronary disease?

30-Second Summary
D
Evidence Grade D · 34 · Safety warning
Low-dose methotrexate reduced neither cardiovascular events nor IL-1β
Liver, hematologic, infection, and non-basal-cell skin-cancer risks preclude unsupervised cardiovascular use.
What the
research shows
Grade D, 34 points. In 4,786 CIRT participants, the original primary composite occurred in 170 versus 167 patients, HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.25), with absolute rates 3.46 versus 3.43 per 100 person-years. The lower limit still allows up to 18% relative benefit, so absence of benefit was not conclusively established.
What the
ads claim
Rheumatology efficacy and an anti-inflammatory label do not establish coronary-event prevention.
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Useful facts when choosing a product

  • Target dose was 15 to 20 mg weekly with folate.
  • Liver enzyme, blood count, infection, and skin-cancer concerns were reported.
Gap Measurement · Verdict 2897 · D 34
What advertising claims
What independent, higher-quality research supports
△ GAP
01

What the research actually shows

Four-gate review: ① Interim-boundary early stop ② listed item ③ the independent DSMB stopped the trial after crossing a prespecified futility boundary ④ not investigator misconduct and difficult to avoid, but this is the sole rule exception and is counted because early stopping can bias estimates. ① At least 15% attrition ② listed item ③ survival censoring is not attrition and no fixed-time missingness of 15% or more was established ④ criterion not met.

02

Why this is classified as D (34)

One large publicly funded null hard-outcome trial without replicated refutation or precise exclusion gives D, 34.

Counterpoint. The interval permits up to 18% relative benefit.

Rejudgment record. Source checked — Large publicly funded hard-outcome RCT, null result, and prespecified futility stop

Scoring profile behind this grade
EndpointHHard endpoint - actual events such as death
ReplicationR1Single confirmatory trial
IndependenceI1Mixed funding sources
Effect sizeE0Null
PrecisionC0The confidence interval leaves room for benefit

The scoring table and the verdict agree (D).

Sub-claim grades by effect

This ingredient is marketed for several effects. A single overall grade blends strong and weak claims together, so each effect is graded separately here. The overall grade reflects the strongest disconfirming or core claim.

Effect (sub-claim)GradeBasis
Prevention of major cardiovascular eventsDHR was 1.01.

Cross-check — AI research and Codex final gate

AI was used for research and drafting. Blind grading, adversarial audit, and the methodology boundary rules were then reapplied before Codex performed the final evidence, grade, copy, and build checks. If a grade cannot be narrowed, both evidence positions and their reasons are published.
03

Evidence Table

StudyDesignSampleFundingEndpointResultWeight
Study 1Randomized double-blind placebo-controlled trial4,786NHLBI public funding; Teva and Amneal supplied study medicinesNonfatal MI, nonfatal stroke, or cardiovascular death170 vs 167; HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.82 to 1.25); 3.46 vs 3.43 per 100 person-yearsLarge hard-outcome RCT
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Receipt — 1 References

All 1 cited sources were verified for existence at the original page (as of 2026-08-26).

Ridker PM, et al. N Engl J Med. 2019. PMID: 30415610.
checked
Research and draft: AI used · Cross-check: blind grading and adversarial audit
Final verification and publication gate: Codex · Verification cutoff: 2026-08-26 · Corrections: none

Cite this verdict

No Benefit of Low-Dose Methotrexate for Preventing Major Cardiovascular Events in High-Risk Coronary Disease Evidence Grade D card
[Chamgap] No Benefit of Low-Dose Methotrexate for Preventing Major Cardiovascular Events in High-Risk Coronary Disease — Evidence Grade D·34. 1 cited sources checked. Source: https://chamgap.com/en/verdicts/heart/low-dose-methotrexate-cardiovascular-event-prevention/ · CC BY 4.0

CC BY 4.0 — free to use with attribution; do not distort grades, numbers, or verdict meaning.

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What this document does and does not do

Chamgap is an information source. It reports what research has and has not confirmed; it does not tell readers what to take or buy. That decision belongs to readers and, when needed, medical or legal professionals. This verdict reflects literature available up to the search date and may change as new research appears. Nothing here is medical advice.