CHAMGAP
Verdict No. 3081 · Search date 2026-09-14 · Methodology v1.0

Oral saffron stigma extract,
does it really help with Cognition in mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease?

30-Second Summary
C
Evidence Grade C · 46 · Safety caution
Legacy grade under review
Limited to the 16-week ADAS-cog signal. C/46 is Chamgap's internal evidence index, not 46% efficacy or a treatment recommendation.
Caution. S1 reported hypomania in 2/23 versus 0/23 and dry mouth in 3/23 versus 1/23. One placebo participant died of myocardial infarction, so 'no serious events at all' would be incorrect. This small sample cannot exclude rare or long-term harm. Interactions with other medicines and safety in pregnancy, lactation, or major liver/kidney disease cannot be established from these data.
What the
research shows
One small placebo-controlled trial reported better cognitive scores at 16 weeks. Independent replication under the same conditions and long-term clinical benefit remain unconfirmed. This does not establish a treatment for Alzheimer's disease or a replacement for prescribed medication.
What the
ads claim
This assessment does not support claims that saffron tea prevents dementia, stops Alzheimer's progression, is equivalent to standard medication, or can replace prescribed treatment.

Four separate assessment dimensions

Effect direction and sizeA favorable 16-week ADAS-cog change was reported versus placebo. The difference between published mean changes is −7.77 points (editorial calculation). Clinical importance and durable functional benefit are not established.
Evidence certaintyProvisionally limited: one small sample, LOCF imputation, unverified prospective registration/SAP, and some internally inconsistent reported statistics. This is not a formal GRADE assessment.
ApplicabilityRestricted to the studied stigma extract at 30 mg/day for 16 weeks in mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease. Not transferable to tea, other formulations, isolated constituents, prevention, or prescription replacement.
SafetyCaution. Short-term events were recorded, but rare or long-term harm, multiple co-medications, and vulnerable populations remain inadequately assessed.

C·46 is a retained legacy value under methodological consistency review, not a 46% effect, formal GRADE rating, or journal/expert certification. Correcting S to P does not establish a new final grade. Read the four assessment dimensions and unresolved items separately.

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Useful facts when choosing a product

  • The studied regimen was an ethanolic stigma extract in 15 mg capsules twice daily for 16 weeks. This describes a trial, not a personal dosing instruction.
  • Do not transfer the result to tea, food, different extracts, isolated crocin or safranal, or combination products.
  • The core trial does not represent all routine-care patients continuing antidementia medication. It provides no basis for stopping or replacing prescriptions.
ID

Chamgap Semantic Classification Code

Permanent code issued

S.saffron-stigma-ethanolic-extract.oral.alzheimer-adas-cog.reduce.placebo

Supplements and nutraceuticals > Saffron stigma ethanolic extract > Oral > Mild-to-moderate Alzheimer ADAS-cog > Score-reduction claim > Placebo

Bound to ADAS-cog change with 15 mg twice daily for 16 weeks in mild-to-moderate disease under the trial's medication restrictions. Issuance identifies scope, not confirmed efficacy or clinical certification. Drug add-on regimens, tea, isolated crocin, and other outcomes remain distinct. The code identifies the intervention and claim; it never contains the evidence grade, score, or safety result.

Download semantic index (JSON) · Codebook v1

Exact Claim Classification

These independent facets prevent evidence from different forms, routes, populations, effects, and comparators from being mixed.

Intervention classS · Supplement or nutraceutical
Canonical ingredient or interventionSaffron stigma extract
Source or part usedDried stigmas of Crocus sativus
Formulation or processingCapsules of dried 80% ethanolic extract; reported crocin/safranal standardization
RouteOral
Dose15 mg twice daily, total 30 mg/day; trial regimen
Duration16 weeks
PopulationAge over 55, probable mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease, MMSE 15–26, subject to the core trial's antidementia-medication restrictions
Effect or conditionImprovement in Alzheimer cognition
Primary endpointPage-selected: between-arm difference in 16-week ADAS-cog change; lower is better; exact version and prospective prespecification unverified
ComparatorVisually identical placebo capsules
Duplicate-detection keysaffron-stigma-ethanol-extract|oral-capsule|30-mg-day|16-weeks|mild-moderate-alzheimer-no-concurrent-antidementia-treatment|adas-cog-change|placebo
01

What the research actually shows

The core trial randomized 46 participants, 23 per arm. Lower ADAS-cog scores indicate improvement. Changes at 16 weeks were −3.69±1.69 versus +4.08±1.34 points (mean±SD). The simple difference in these changes, −7.77 points, is calculated from the published means; it is neither an author-reported adjusted estimate nor an individual's probability of improvement. The paper reported P<.0001 for the change-score comparison. The abstract's P=.04 instead refers to the repeated-measures group effect. An author-reported 95% confidence interval was not verified. Source: S1, author-uploaded full-text transcription, p4, Results/ADAS-cog.

In S3, 60 people receiving donepezil were assigned additional saffron or placebo for 12 weeks; the between-group MMSE comparison was P=.303. Non-significance does not prove zero effect. Improvements in inflammatory markers are not cognitive benefits, and this add-on study is not counted as independent replication of S1. The active donepezil comparator in S2 does not automatically establish placebo-relative efficacy or noninferiority.

02

Why this is classified as C (46)

The legacy C·46 rating is under review. ADAS-cog directly measures the cognitive function targeted by this claim; its endpoint code is corrected from S (surrogate) to P (symptom or function itself), rather than calling it a surrogate merely because it is a test. Assigning EX solely because a clinical-importance threshold is unverified conflicts with the existing boundary rules. Numerical effect reconstruction and unverified clinical importance are separate issues. The remaining axes and final grade are not newly adjudicated in this correction.

Counterpoint. The positive randomized signal should neither be erased nor inflated into clinical confirmation. These data cannot settle long-term daily functioning, caregiver burden, or disease progression.

Rejudgment record. Editorial assessment using ChatGPT research and Codex source comparison — Existing Chamgap scoring kept separate from four clinical assessment dimensions

Stored scoring profile
EndpointPSymptom or function itself is the target - including patient reports and performance tests
Case application: ADAS-cog is the cognitive-function endpoint itself for this claim, not a biomarker or surrogate.
ReplicationR1Single confirmatory trial
Case application: One direct placebo trial; prospective confirmatory status and matching independent replication unverified
IndependenceI1Mixed funding sources
Effect sizeEXThe clinical size of the effect could not be judged
PrecisionCXNo pooled confidence interval could be confirmed
Case application: Numerical reconstruction is possible, but clinical precision remains unclassified without a verified applicable importance threshold

Stored derived and displayed grades match; this is not a current recalculation or validity check (C).

Review performed and remaining limitations

Codex reviewed ChatGPT's research and draft, compared the core author-uploaded full-text transcription with bibliographic/abstract records and a contrary result under different conditions, and checked change-score arithmetic, sample definitions, and bilingual wording. Each citation states actual access.

Pilot AI-assisted review. No external expert review, blinded independent review, formal GRADE, complete RoB 2 signalling-question assessment, or public comprehension testing was performed. Some full texts, registrations, and analysis plans were unavailable.

Preliminary RoB 2-informed review — not a complete formal assessment
RandomizationSome concerns: a computerized sequence and blinded codes are described, but operational allocation concealment and separation of recruitment/allocation staff remain unverified. This is not proof of improper allocation. S1, Intervention.
Deviations from assigned interventionsProvisionally toward low risk: double blinding, matched appearance, caregiver supervision, and analysis by assigned group are described. Taste/odor matching, quantitative adherence, and co-treatment deviations remain unverified. S1, Participants/Intervention/Statistics.
Missing outcome dataSome concerns: 1/23 versus 3/23 dropped out, totaling 4/46 (8.7%, calculated). LOCF was used and a placebo participant died. Other missingness reasons and sensitivity analyses remain unverified; LOCF does not remove missing-data uncertainty. S1, Statistics/Results/Safety.
Outcome measurementProvisionally toward low risk, with documentation gaps: both arms used the same ADAS-cog schedule and double blinding, but exact version, translation, assessor training, and blinding success remain unverified. S1, Measurements/Intervention.
Selection of the reported resultSome concerns: the paper specifies a 16-week change-score test, but multiple scales/analyses are reported and a time-stamped prospective registry/SAP was not retrieved. Possible selective reporting is not evidence of manipulation. S1, Statistics/Results.
Reasons for the certainty judgment — not formal GRADE
Risk of biasUncertainty remains about allocation concealment, missing-data handling, and prospective result selection. Small size or company support alone was not converted into a formal high-risk RoB 2 judgment.
InconsistencyBetween-study inconsistency is difficult to assess with one direct trial under matching conditions. S3 differs in co-treatment and scale; its non-significant result is not used to invent heterogeneity statistics or consistent replication.
IndirectnessDirect for the narrow question, but not transferable beyond the extract, selected population, medication restrictions, and 16 weeks to prevention, durable daily function, tea, or prescription replacement.
ImprecisionAn independent-arm equal-variance t calculation using published change SDs and 23 participants per arm gives a difference of −7.77 points and a conditional 95% CI of −8.68 to −6.86 (df44). This is an editorial calculation, not an author-reported CI, and assumes the rounded summaries and LOCF analysis. It does not resolve missingness/reporting bias or establish clinical importance. A formal optimal-information-size assessment was not performed.
Publication biasNo funnel plot or Egger test was performed for one direct trial. Registries were not exhaustively searched for unpublished studies, so publication bias cannot be excluded.

Search scope and limitations. Cutoff: 2026-09-14. ChatGPT supplied 56 web queries; Codex checked core primary sources, arithmetic, and contrary findings. Queries combined saffron/Crocus, Alzheimer, placebo, ADAS-cog, registration, correction/retraction, and recent years. PubMed/registry domain-restricted searches were included, but this was not an exhaustive native database search or systematic review. Recent reviews were trial locators, not additional independent trials. Queries and exclusions are retained in the editorial review record.

03

Evidence Table

StudyDesignSampleFundingEndpointResultWeight
Akhondzadeh et al. 2010 — 16-week saffron–placebo trial (PMID 20831681)Three-site randomized double-blind placebo trial; paper-defined ITT with LOCF46 randomized, 23/23 in paper-defined ITT analysis; 1/3 dropouts; 22/20 completers calculated by subtraction; analysis df44Joint university/Green Plants of Life grant; company donated material. Cash shares, employee authorship, patents, and separate COI declaration unverified16-week ADAS-cog change; selected for this page; prospective registry prespecification unverifiedChanges −3.69±1.69 vs +4.08±1.34 points (SD); simple difference −7.77 (calculated). Full-text p4, change-score test P<.0001One direct trial. Small sample, LOCF, unavailable prospective plan, and statistical reporting inconsistencies limit confirmation
Akhondzadeh et al. 2010 — 22-week saffron–donepezil trial (PMID 19838862)Randomized double-blind active-comparator trial, not placebo-controlled54 participants; completion/analysis details not established in this reviewFunding, product support, employee authorship, and patent details unverified in this review22-week ADAS-cog/CDR-SB, with donepezil as comparatorThe abstract reports no significant between-group difference; this is not converted into equivalence, noninferiority, or placebo-relative efficacyContext under a different comparator; not counted as replication of the direct placebo trial
Rasi Marzabadi et al. 2022 — saffron added to donepezil (DOI 10.1016/j.hermed.2022.100574)Randomized double-blind saffron/placebo add-on trial during donepezil treatment60 participants, 30/30 randomized; publisher Results excerpt reports 27/27 analyzedTabriz University Neurosciences Research Center grant 62590; authors declared no conflicts. Product provision, employee authorship, and patents not separately established12-week MMSE; saffron 15 mg twice daily as add-onBetween-group MMSE P=.303; mean difference/95% CI unverified. Inflammatory-marker findings are not cognitive effectsImportant non-significant context. Different co-treatment and scale preclude pooling with S1 or counting it as consistent replication
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Receipt — 3 References

Retained evidence-access date: 2026-09-14. This correction checked record consistency; it did not reverify every original source or recertify the grade.

Akhondzadeh S et al. Saffron in the treatment of patients with mild to moderate Alzheimer's disease: a 16-week, randomized and placebo-controlled trial. J Clin Pharm Ther. 2010;35(5):581–588. PMID 20831681. DOI 10.1111/j.1365-2710.2009.01133.x.
Intervention/analysis pp3–4; ADAS-cog results p4; safety/Table 2 p5; funding p6, using the author-uploaded version's page numbering. Partial access: author-uploaded ResearchGate full-text transcription plus bibliographic/abstract comparison. Publisher PDF, registry, and SAP unavailable. For the final-value test, reported t4.16/df44 gives a recalculated P≈.000145, inconsistent with reported P<.0001; this is distinct from the change-score test.
Retained record · not newly source-verified
Akhondzadeh S et al. A 22-week, multicenter, randomized, double-blind controlled trial of Crocus sativus in the treatment of mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's disease. Psychopharmacology. 2010;207(4):637–643. PMID 19838862. DOI 10.1007/s00213-009-1706-1.
Active-comparator context, not confirmation of placebo-relative efficacy or equivalence. Partial access: bibliography and abstract; detailed full text and registration unverified in this review.
Retained record · not newly source-verified
Rasi Marzabadi L et al. Saffron reduces some inflammation and oxidative stress markers in donepezil-treated mild-to-moderate Alzheimer's Disease patients: A randomized double-blind placebo-control trial. J Herbal Med. 2022;34:100574. DOI 10.1016/j.hermed.2022.100574.
Publisher abstract and Results/funding/COI excerpts: 60 randomized, 27/27 analyzed, 12-week MMSE P=.303; a donepezil add-on comparison. Partial access: publisher-indexed abstract and section excerpts. Paper lists IRCT20190428043409N1; original registry, timing, and SAP unverified. Complete text, supplements, mean difference, and 95% CI unavailable.
Retained record · not newly source-verified
Codex compared retained study and verdict records with ChatGPT's methodological consistency review. No new literature search, full-text acquisition, or external expert review was performed.
This correction by: Codex · Evidence date: 2026-09-14 · Corrections: 1

Correction log — 1

Corrections applied to this verdict, in chronological order. Changes are logged, not erased.

  • 2026-09-14 · Editorial correction and legacy-grade review notice — Corrected the ADAS-cog endpoint code from S to P and disclosed unresolved EX and score issues. Grade and score are retained, not certified as a new final assessment. (grade C unchanged)

Cite the review status too

Legacy grade under review. New grade-card distribution is on hold.

[Chamgap] Saffron Extract for Alzheimer Cognition—A Short-Term Signal, Not Confirmation — legacy C · 46, under review. https://chamgap.com/en/verdicts/cognition/saffron-extract-alzheimer-adas-cog-placebo/ · CC BY 4.0
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What this document does and does not do

Chamgap is an information source. It reports what research has and has not confirmed; it does not tell readers what to take or buy. That decision belongs to readers and, when needed, medical or legal professionals. This verdict reflects literature available up to the search date and may change as new research appears. Nothing here is medical advice.