CHAMGAP
APPROVEDReviewed and approved by the Chamgap Editorial Team (2026-08-04). The draft was written by AI, the existence of all 1 cited sources was verified at the original page, and the verdict passed blind grading and adversarial audit. Methodology v0.6.
Verdict No. 2197 · Search date 2026-08-04 · Methodology v0.6

Sleep regularity,
does it really help with Reduced all-cause mortality?

30-Second Summary
C
Evidence Grade C · 56 · Safety acceptable
Actigraphy-measured irregular sleep was associated with mortality, but causal life extension was not tested
Regular bed and wake schedules are generally safe. Shift workers and people at risk of bipolar mania should avoid forced sleep restriction and seek individualized advice.
What the
research shows
The grade is C with 56 points. In 88,975 UK Biobank participants wearing wrist accelerometers for seven days, 3,010 deaths occurred over a mean 7.1 years. Relative to median SRI 60, SRI 41 at the 5th percentile had mortality HR 1.53 (95% CI 1.41-1.66), while SRI 75 had HR 0.90 (0.81-1.00). Objective exposure and actual deaths are strengths, but one seven-day observational measurement does not prove that making sleep times regular extends life.
What the
ads claim
The 0-to-100 device metric summarizes association; it is not a validated instruction to keep bedtime and wake time within a particular number of minutes.
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Useful facts when choosing a product

  • SRI is the seven-day average probability of matching sleep or wake state at time points 24 hours apart, scaled from 0 to 100.
  • Median SRI was 60; the 5th and 95th percentiles were 41 and 75.
  • Verdict 2199 is C with 56 points for sleep duration and mortality. This verdict asks about timing regularity, not duration.
Gap Measurement · Verdict 2197 · C 56
What advertising claims
What independent, higher-quality research supports
△ GAP
01

What the research actually shows

Exposure was seven days of continuous 24-hour wrist accelerometry, not self-report. However, only the accelerometry subset with valid data, 88,975 of the larger UK Biobank, entered analysis after substantial selection. The study did not report a blanket exclusion of early deaths; it modeled time-varying hazards instead. Persistence after sleep-duration adjustment came from sensitivity model 2, not the primary analysis. Verdict 2199 is C with 56 points, but it did not adjust for a regularity index, creating an asymmetry; the two verdicts were not double-counted as independent replication. Funding came from NHMRC, NIA, the Alzheimer's Association, and the Banting Fellowship Program, and no competing interests were declared.

02

Why this is classified as C (56)

Objective seven-day exposure and 3,010 actual deaths are strengths, while persistence after sleep-duration adjustment appeared in sensitivity model 2. One observational analysis, substantial selection, and early hazard attenuation leave reverse causation, giving C with 56 points.

Counterpoint. A long-term intervention that changes sleep timing should prespecify cardiovascular events if mortality is impractical.

Rejudgment record. Cross-check applied — The eLife article and appendix were checked for SRI computation, seven-day accelerometry, denominator and deaths, sleep-duration-adjusted hazard ratios, time-varying hazards, and funding

Scoring profile behind this grade
EndpointHHard endpoint - actual events such as death
ReplicationR1Single confirmatory trial
IndependenceI2Decisive evidence is publicly or non-profit funded
Effect sizeE+Meets the clinically important threshold

The scoring table and the verdict agree (C).

Sub-claim grades by effect

This ingredient is marketed for several effects. A single overall grade blends strong and weak claims together, so each effect is graded separately here. The overall grade reflects the strongest disconfirming or core claim.

Effect (sub-claim)GradeBasis
Association of irregular sleep with all-cause mortalityCA sizable association remained in the accelerometry cohort.
Making bed and wake times regular reduces mortality?No human intervention trial has changed regularity and measured mortality.

Cross-check — Codex and Claude

This verdict was drafted by Codex through literature review and source-existence checks, cross-checked through blind grading and adversarial audit, and settled by reapplying the methodology boundary rules. Cases with split grades were resolved through rejudgment.
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Evidence Table

StudyDesignSampleFundingEndpointResultWeight
Study 1Prospective UK Biobank accelerometry cohort3,010NHMRC, NIA, Alzheimer's Association, and Banting FellowshipAll-cause, cardiovascular, and cancer mortalitySRI 41 versus 60: HR 1.53 (1.41-1.66); with sleep-duration adjustment, HR 1.42 (1.31-1.55)Core observational evidence with objective exposure and actual deaths
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Receipt — 1 References

All 1 cited sources were verified for existence at the original page (as of 2026-08-04).

Cribb L, Sha R, Yiallourou S, et al. Sleep regularity and mortality: a prospective analysis in the UK Biobank. eLife. 2023;12:RP88359. PMID: 37995126. PMCID: PMC10666928. DOI: 10.7554/eLife.88359.
checked
Draft and rewrite: Codex (AI) · Verification: Codex blind grading and adversarial audit · Final adjudication: Claude
Reviewed and approved: Chamgap Editorial Team · Approval date: 2026-08-04 · Corrections: none

Cite this verdict

Sleep regularity x reduced all-cause mortality Evidence Grade C card
[Chamgap] Sleep regularity x reduced all-cause mortality — Evidence Grade C·56. 1 cited sources checked. Source: https://chamgap.com/en/verdicts/antioxidant-aging/sleep-regularity-index-all-cause-mortality/ · CC BY 4.0

CC BY 4.0 — free to use with attribution; do not distort grades, numbers, or verdict meaning.

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