CHAMGAP
VERIFIEDPassed the Codex final verification and publication gate. Evidence-verification cutoff: 2026-08-18. AI was used for research and drafting; the existence of all 1 cited sources was verified at the original page, followed by blind grading, adversarial audit, and build validation. Methodology v1.0.
Verdict No. 2815 · Search date 2026-08-18 · Methodology v1.0

Area-wide deployment of wMel Wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti,
does it really help with Reduced symptomatic virologically confirmed dengue?

30-Second Summary
B
Evidence Grade B · 76 · Safety caution
In Yogyakarta, wMel deployment reduced symptomatic virologically confirmed dengue by an observed 7.1 percentage points
Area-wide mosquito deployment requires ecological assessment, community acceptance, regulation, and long-term surveillance. It is not an individual do-it-yourself preventive treatment.
What the
research shows
The grade is B. AWED cluster-randomized 24 urban areas in Yogyakarta. Symptomatic virologically confirmed dengue occurred in 67/2,905 (2.3%) from wMel clusters versus 318/3,401 (9.4%) from control clusters: OR 0.23 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.35), protective efficacy 77.1%, and an observed absolute difference of -7.1 points. The effect was large, but independent confirmation of the same question is absent.
What the
ads claim
South Korea currently has no endemic dengue transmission, so direct domestic deployment relevance is limited. The topic remains relevant to travel-associated infection and climate-change vector surveillance, while direct policy relevance is greatest in endemic regions.
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Useful facts when choosing a product

  • wMel becomes established in mosquito populations and reduces their capacity to transmit dengue virus.
  • This is a community-wide public-health intervention, not a drug administered to individuals.
  • Median monthly cluster-level wMel prevalence was 95.8% during 27 months of surveillance.
ID

Chamgap Semantic Classification Code

Candidate index · review held

UNK.area-wide-deployment-of-wmel-wolbachia-infected-aedes-aegypti.UNK.symptomatic-virologically-confirmed-dengue.reduce.UNK

Unknown > Area-wide deployment of wMel Wolbachia-infected Aedes aegypti > Unknown > symptomatic virologically confirmed dengue > Reduction claim > Unknown

An automated migration candidate, not an issued permanent code; exact claim scope remains under review. This machine-generated migration candidate helps retrieval but is not a permanent assignment. The original verdict ID and URL remain authoritative.

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Gap Measurement · Verdict 2815 · B 76
What advertising claims
What independent, higher-quality research supports
△ GAP
01

What the research actually shows

In a cluster trial, allocation concealment concerns fixing cluster boundaries and balance rules before treatment assignment so investigators cannot favor particular neighborhoods; it is not concealment of an individual's treatment. AWED prespecified 24 clusters and balance criteria, then randomly selected one eligible allocation. Releases were open after assignment, but most residents were unaware and research staff were kept unaware of participant exposure during follow-up, laboratory testing, and classification. Tahija Foundation funded World Mosquito Program activities in Indonesia, while Wellcome Trust and the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation supported WMP. Universitas Gadjah Mada sponsored the trial, and funders had no role in analysis, manuscript preparation, or publication decisions.

Axis 6 B0 evidence ① Allocation concealment: "All potential allocations that satisfy these balancing criteria will be retained, and non-balanced possibilities rejected. Finally, a single allocation pattern will be randomly selected from within the restricted list of balanced possibilities." ② Masking: "Trial procedures, such as the concealment from research staff of the wolbachia exposure status of the participants, were designed to prevent bias in follow-up, laboratory testing, and outcome classification." ③ Analysis set and missing data: "The intention-to-treat (primary) analysis will consider Wolbachia exposure as a binary classification based on residence in a cluster allocated to Wolbachia deployment or not." ④ Prespecified primary endpoint: "Primary endpoint Symptomatic, virologically-confirmed dengue virus (DENV) infection of any severity." - consistent with NCT03055585 and INA-A7OB6TW

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Why this is classified as B (76)

A nonprofit-funded cluster-randomized trial reduced symptomatic confirmed dengue from 9.4% to 2.3%, an observed 7.1-point difference, without an identified avoidable design defect. Lack of independent replication gives B with 76 points.

Counterpoint. B does not imply a small effect; it reflects the single-confirmatory-trial evidence structure, while the observed absolute effect was large.

Rejudgment record. Article, protocol, and registry cross-check — Virologically confirmed symptomatic dengue, relative and absolute effects, prespecified cluster allocation and masked analysis, nonprofit funding, and one confirmatory trial

Stored scoring profile
EndpointHHard endpoint - actual events such as death
ReplicationR1Single confirmatory trial
IndependenceI2Decisive evidence is publicly or non-profit funded
Effect sizeE+Meets the clinically important threshold

Stored derived and displayed grades match; this is not a current recalculation or validity check (B).

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Sub-claim grades by effect

This ingredient is marketed for several effects. A single overall grade blends strong and weak claims together, so each effect is graded separately here. The overall grade reflects the strongest disconfirming or core claim.

Effect (sub-claim)GradeBasis
Reduction in symptomatic virologically confirmed dengueBRates were 2.3% versus 9.4%, an absolute difference of -7.1 points.
Reduction in hospitalization with confirmed dengueBRates were 0.4% versus 3.0%, an absolute difference of -2.6 points.
✓

Cross-check — AI research and Codex final gate

AI was used for research and drafting. Blind grading, adversarial audit, and the methodology boundary rules were then reapplied before Codex performed the final evidence, grade, copy, and build checks. If a grade cannot be narrowed, both evidence positions and their reasons are published.
03

Evidence Table

StudyDesignSampleFundingEndpointResultWeight
Utarini A et al. 2021 AWEDUrban cluster-randomized test-negative controlled trial24 clusters randomized (12/12); 8,144 enrolled; 6,306 in ITT analysis (2,905/3,401)Tahija Foundation supported WMP activities in Indonesia; Wellcome Trust and Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation supported WMP; funders had no role in analysis, manuscript, or publicationSymptomatic virologically confirmed dengue virus infection of any serotype67/2,905 (2.3%) versus 318/3,401 (9.4%), absolute difference -7.1 points, OR 0.23 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.35), protective efficacy 77.1% (65.3 to 84.9)Large nonprofit-funded cluster-randomized clinical infection evidence; Indonesian registration INA-A7OB6TW also confirmed
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Receipt — 1 References

All 1 cited sources were verified for existence at the original page (as of 2026-08-18).

Utarini A, Indriani C, Ahmad RA, et al. Efficacy of Wolbachia-Infected Mosquito Deployments for the Control of Dengue. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(23):2177-2186. PMID: 34107180. DOI: 10.1056/NEJMoa2030243.
checked
Research and draft: AI used · Cross-check: blind grading and adversarial audit
Final verification and publication gate: Codex · Evidence date: 2026-08-18 · Corrections: none
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Cite this verdict

Efficacy of Wolbachia-Infected Mosquito Deployments for the Control of Dengue - Benefit Evidence Grade B card
[Chamgap] Efficacy of Wolbachia-Infected Mosquito Deployments for the Control of Dengue - Benefit — Evidence Grade B·76. 1 cited sources checked. Source: https://chamgap.com/en/verdicts/immunity/wmel-wolbachia-mosquito-dengue-yogyakarta/ · CC BY 4.0

CC BY 4.0 — free to use with attribution; do not distort grades, numbers, or verdict meaning.

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